Above image courtesy of Photographer: Matthew Staver/Bloomberg
[Washington, D.C.] Today First-Time homebuyers received more welcomed news at Nancy Pelosi’s (Speaker of the House/D-CA/12th) House of Representatives passed HR2161. Labeled as the “obstruction party” by leaders of the Trump administration the bill was passed and headed to the Senate where members are hoping majority leader Mitch McConnell doesn’t try and high jack the bill. Lately he has proudly accepted the moniker to be known as ‘the grim-reaper.”
The bill essentially can result in borrowers using FHA mortgages saving $5,375 and is based on an average loan of $211,000. Current FHA borrower must pay three percent which is known as the standard rate for mortgage insurance or the program which allows the agency operate. Unlike conventional mortgages where insurance is normally mandated if the mortgage exceeds 80% of the value of the home, FHA mortgage through their mortgage insurance premium (MIP) is mandated regardless of loan to value.
HR2161 would allow borrowers who successfully complete authorized counseling to have their premiums reduced to 2.75%. If passed and Donald Trump signs it into law you could see millions of buyers enter the marketplace.
Many borrowers use FHA insured mortgages as their entry into home ownership. Contrary to popular belief, especially political leaders who have attempted to vilify the program, historically it helped the United States of America define a middle-class standard.
The Feds led by Jerome Powell announced yesterday, discount rates would remain unchanged. Although Donald Trump has been up to his usual antics of butting in to agencies which demand independence, Powell has been clear and intimated to Trump to stop harassing him or threatening to fire him.
Here is his remarks about why there was no need to change rates.
While some will swear congress, specifically the House of Representative is doing nothing for the people was they are mired down in whether to impeach Donald Trump or not, in fact there is lots going on.
One such group, the Financial Services Committee has been busy (in addition to coordinating impeachment discussion) hold critical hearings about financial issues affecting the American people. Today, they held a very important hearing on Corporate Diversity & Inclusion.
Some baby-boomers like myself or those who are music aficionados remember the rock group Blood, Sweat & Tears. In 1968 they produced a hit called “spinning wheels.” It was a melodic tune that caught your attention.
“What goes up must come down What must rise must fall And what goes on in your life Is writing on the wall!
In the world of Donald Trump those lyrics are a no-no especially when it comes to communicating about the economy as well as regulators who are charged to keep our system running smoothly. The economy is cyclical. Some metrics which guide it are up, meaning others must be down in order to maintain fluidity.
As the economy improves regulators such as Jerome Powell who is chair of the Federal Reserve must guide against inflation or pumping too much money into it. At the same time, when the economy is struggling as was the case with our financial meltdown of 2008, the Feds were charged with lowering the discount rate to make funds more affordable for commercial banks. Now that the economy is doing well there is very little justification it needs a boost or having the rate lowered.
Unfortunately, that is not the case in Trump world. He likes to tout everything is the best, the greatness on and on, so in his mind Powell needs to lower the discount rate immediately. It is no surprise that president’s in the past understand the protocol of the Fed and make it a point to allow them to operate from a non-political position.
“Trump is not planning to demote Powell.” Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council
For the past year Trump has intimated his disappointment of Powell while suggesting he might fire him. This is due to the Feds raising the rate as a protection of maintaining a strong economy. Fortunately for Powell, his position is not a cabinet level. However, just as Trump harassed and badgered Jeff Sessions, James Comey and other leaders within his administration until they finally departed, he appears to be using the same antics against Powell.
Imagine waking up everyday hearing or reading the boss is unhappy with your performance, even though there is no justification, let alone using common sense to communicate the decision.
Today and tomorrow the FOMC (Federal Reserve, Federal Open Market Committee) is holding their regular meeting to discuss monetary policy. The bottom-line announcement usually follows the conclusion of the meeting. While Trump has communicated his desire that rates must be immediately lowered, most financial experts agree that is unlikely. They do look to the meeting in July with the assumption things stay the way they are; there may be a lowering in the discount rate.
In the meantime, as for economic issues Trump should hum the lyrics of Spinning Wheel to appease his desire to invoke another rash move
above photo - House Financial Services Committee Holds Hearing On Keeping Megabanks Accountable
WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 10: (L-R) Michael Corbat, chief executive officer of Citigroup Inc., Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., James Gorman, chief executive officer of Morgan Stanley, and Brian Moynihan, chief executive officer of Bank of America Corp., listen during a House Financial Services Committee hearing on April 10, 2019 in Washington, DC. Seven CEOs of the country’s largest banks were called to testify a decade after the global financial crisis. (Photo by Alex Wroblewski/Getty Images)
The news was initial reported in April but it is worth repeating today because at first the amount seemed like a prank but it truly is real! Ever since the Democratic party assumed control of the House of Representatives they have moved quickly to implement more accountability as part of their oversight. Global Systemically Important Banks known as GSIB’s make us some of the largest U.S. commercial banks.
The TARP Bailouts
During the financial crisis or mortgage meltdown of 2008, in 2009 the GSIB’s as mentioned appeared before the Financial Services Committee to discuss the bailouts they received. On April 10th they reappeared before the committee chaired by Rep. Maxine Waters. The purpose was to discuss “lessons learned” as well as steps they have engaged to balance the lending spectrum across the nation.
$163.7 in FINES
As a group to date they have paid $163.7 BILLION in fines for various consumer abuses and other violations of the law. Questions remain but one thing is clear; many banks chalked up the fines as the cost of doing business as evidenced by their current behavior and fact collectively they have made over $780 billion in profits. Has anything changed?
The hearing shed light on why accountability is critical. The committee has more hearings planned to address specific steps the banks plan on incorporating to benefit all consumers, particularly those that have been historically marginalized.
Here is a list of the fines some of the largest banks have paid in the last ten years:
Above photo - David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Mortgage rates dropped to lows not seen in nearly two year. This morning Freddie Mac announced the benchmark 30-year mortgage fell to 3.820%. The rate is from data collected as part of their weekly rate survey of lenders who sell mortgages to them.
There are $2 Trillion dollars’ worth of mortgages that are eligible for refinancing.
According to Mortgage Bankers Association the lower rates reflect to spike in mortgage activity for those refinancing. Unfortunately, the activity for those purchasing a property has held flat or declined. This could be due to many borrowers feeling priced out of participating in homeownership?
“Coming out of the Memorial Day holiday, and likely impacted by the financial market volatility caused by the trade tensions, purchase application volume declined for the week. Potential homebuyers may be more cautious given the heightened economic uncertainty.” Mike Fratantoni, MBA Senior Vice President and Chief Economist.
Whether you are a consumer (like me) or a business owner cost is always a key consideration.
Lately, I have noticed companies adding convenience fees, surcharges for using debit/credit care, health fees to pay for employee health benefits and/or a living wage issue. No doubt, operating cost are a critical component in pricing a product. Some merely add the cost to the product, some separate it as a specific cost, some list the cost on your bill but leave it as an option for you to decide, then some absorb it so that customers don’t feel alienated and decide to take their business elsewhere!!!
“my accountant said I need to pass those cost on to my customers,” store owner
“we need to use the fee income to help pay for employee health benefits,” store owner
The practice is not new but as our society relies on technology via credit card, debit card, smartphone app, etc. it is interesting to note the slippery slope businesses must navigate as if not handled properly they run the risk of losing hard-fought customers.
Above Photo - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Holds News Conference After Federal Open Market Committee Meeting
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 01: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference on May 1, 2019 in Washington, DC. Powell said the Fed will not raise interest rates this quarter and no rate hikes are likely anytime soon. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
Steve Moore, a great pro-growth economist and a truly fine person, has decided to withdraw from the Fed process. Steve won the battle of ideas including Tax Cuts….
8:29 AM – 2 May 2019
Since assuming the presidency, a lingering quagmire for Donald Trump is understanding running the government is much different than running a closed private business. The latest example is trying to dictate the actions of Fed Reserve Board chair Jerome Powell. Today the Fed rebuffed Trump’s constant badgering to lower the discount rate so that he could claim a political victory by deciding to keep them as-is, until the next meeting.
“we reviewed economic and financial developments in the United States and around the world and decided to leave our policy interest rate unchanged” Jerome Powell, Chair of Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve is an august group of professionals charged with managing monetary policy through their Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Their actions are non-partisan and usually free of any political influence. That is, until Donald Trump came along. The Fed rate is based on the economic environment. As a measure to thwart inflation the rate may increase based on positive economic metrics.
Some want it both ways
From a political standpoint Trump is enthusiastic to tout positive economic news. Unfortunately, those like him dismiss the elementary notion of when and how the Fed rate moves. For months, Trump has suggested to Powell to keep a lid on increasing the rate. Not only is that type of communication unwise, it is unethical given the Fed’s core responsibility. From a practical standpoint the Fed rate only declines based on a sliding economy. If that were to happen it would contradict Trump’s proposition that all and any news from his administration is positive.
Recently two of Trump’s acolytes; Stephen Moore and Herman Cain had been suggested to join the Fed. Their selection was fueled by their contempt of Powell’s fiscal leadership of the Board. Just last week following protesting the criticism he received as being a nominee, Cain’s was abruptly dropped from consideration. Likewise, Moore’s background has come under fire and it appears unlikely he can further survive the nomination process. Interestingly, several weeks ago to Trump’s delight he applauded Moore for criticizing Powell’s leadership by penning a controversial opt-ed supporting a decrease in the Fed rate.
The next Fed monetary meeting is slated for June 18th & 19th.
ABOVE CAPTION. President Trump Announces The Nominee For Federal Reserve Chair Of The Board Of Governors
Jerome Powell, governor of the U.S. Federal Reserve and President Donald Trump's nominee as chairman of the Federal Reserve, speaks as Trump, left, listens during a nomination announcement in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Thursday, Nov. 2, 2017. If approved by the Senate, the 64-year-old former Carlyle Group LP managing director and ex-Treasury undersecretary would succeed Fed Chair Janet Yellen. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
“It is my pleasure to announce that @StephenMoore, a very respected Economist, will be nominated to serve on the Fed Board. I have known Steve for a long time – and have no doubt he will be an outstanding choice! @realDonaldTrump “
If your ambition is to serve as part of the Donald Trump administration, it helps to be part of the FOX network, speak negatively about the Obama administration or communicate in the media your disdain for someone in the current administration who happens to be in “hot water” with Donald Trump or his acolyte’s. This morning it was Steven Moore’s turn to see if he can parlay his loyalty to Trump and go through the nomination process.
The Federal Reserve is an independent body with the task of establishing monetary policy. Currently there are two openings on the board. Current Board Chair Jerome Powell has been in the crosshairs of Donald Trump for some time. It doesn’t matter that Powell, a life-long Republican was recently nominated by Trump to his current post less than two years ago. During that period the stock market hit some low marks. Rather than blame himself for the policies he adopted which most economist indicated was the reason for the decline, Trump found a new foe in Powell and suffered the wrath and the blame. Similar to so many officials Trump has appointed, many are independent and do not report or work for the White House. Their role is to work on behalf of the citizens of the United States of America.
Unfortunately as soon as whatever work they are doing intimates something Trump or the White House dislikes, they are admonished and chastised for not being a “team player.”
I only hire the best!
During the 2016 presidential campaign and leading up to naming key administration staff, Trump would boast, “he’d “surround myself only with the best and most serious people” — adding: “We want top-of-the-line professionals.”
That may result in a good sound-bite but the results to date have been a big flop. More than a few people who had the aspiration to be part of team Trump has resigned, summarily shown the front door or indicted due to criminal behavior, while their dreams went up in flames.
Being a panderer has its benefits
In some circles, Moore has been viewed as the ultimate panderer known for making nervous smiles during his stint as a cable-news analyst. He has demonstrated the willingness to support anything and everything spouted by Donald Trump. His behavior has been very similar to those who are publicly interviewing for administration post’s knowing full-well of Trump’s appetite in spending as much time as possible consuming media.
Up until this morning Moore was an analyst for CNN.
“Moore joined CNN as a contributor in early 2017. Given this news, he is no longer with the network, a CNN spokeswoman confirms.” CNN Chief Correspondent @brianstelter
He was known for his commitment to never admit anything negative about Donald Trump or his administration. Despite tremendous documentation and evidence to the contrary, Moore’s would presents arguments that might result in an “F” grade in the most basic debate class. His position was to always deny the obvious.
As mentioned, similar to other appointees Moore’s performance caught the attention of Trump. But perhaps the thing that sealed his nomination was his March 13, 2019 editorial to the Wall Street Journal which blasted current chair Powell and blamed him for the concern about Wall Street. This surely supported Trump’s attitude who in turn suggested to Economic Advisor, Larry Kudlow that Moore is just the type of person to fill one of the Fed vacancies.
Interestingly, many view the Federal Reserve as a prestigious organization where top economist who hold pHD’s wind up. Moore’s resume does not compare to those who currently sit on the board. Absent of a pHD, for the past three years his core employment was being a pundit for the Trump administration.
While Trump’s tweets are considered official communication, Moore indicated he has not received a firm offer. Assuming it comes later today or within the next several days the next step is to go through the nomination process. The big question is whether Trump is appointing Moore because he truly is competent and can improve the body or is he being positioned to promote his views as articulated in his March 13th op-ed.
About seven years ago I first heard of a program that seemed too good to be true! Simply, the country of Cuba had a program where students could gain their medical education, training and degree at no cost to them. Med school cost are crippling for most and range from $140,000 – $175,000 and that is just tuition. When you factor in room & board, meals, supplies and other things the cost can easily skyrocket to nearly $500,000.
My treks started in 2014 and due to needing laser-focus energy on my two topics; Race in Cuba and the Old Negro Leagues in Cuba, I forgot about the program.
Fiction or Non-Fiction
Just like you I love entertainment. The problem I have is limited time so when it comes to reading or viewing screenings, as a historian I tend to focus on non-fiction or real-life issues. Maybe that is the reason I prefer documentaries? The Pan-African Film Festival (PAFF) kicked off its 27th year last Thursday.
Lo and behold one of their features is “Dare to Dream.” It is a riveting documentary that chronicles med students earning their credentials in Cuba.
In 2000, a delegation representing the Congressional Black Caucus had the courage to visit Cuba and meet with Fidel Castro. Part of their discussion was the pathetic health care African-Americans and other minorities had to deal with. Later that year members of the Cuban Health ministry visited the group in New York and announced Castro was creating a program for the population affected to complete their studies in Cuba and the cous de gras was there was absolutely no cost.
Approximately half of the initial scholarships were targeted for African-American students. The remainder were for Latino and other ethnic minorities who came from underserved communities.
The Escuela Latinoamericana de Ciencias Médicas (ELAM) program initially offered 500 scholarships total for US students. Thus far nearly 200 US students have graduated and nearly 30,000 students from over 100 countries worldwide have benefitted. IFCO is the organization which identifies and places students in the program.
As for those from the United States, they are placed in hospitals all over, including Pomona Valley Medical Center.
“Reporters anti-Trump bias has spiraled out of control.” White House press secretary Sarah Sanders
Yesterday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its jobs report reflecting data compiled for January 2019. Great news for the 304,000 who are now employed. The report was also a positive shot in the arm for the Trump administration.
During the two-years the administration has been operating, they have accused the media of only focusing on negative news about the antics that Donald Trump belts out on almost a daily basis. Unfortunately, that is not true as over that period there is plenty of positive news the administration should be proud of.
The jobs report is just one marker. Eyebrows get raised when Trump and those who support him focus their retort primarily on African-American employment data as if they are some primitive group or the only group mentioned in the report. It is silly and many wonder why they don’t simply communicate an argument that includes everybody?
News such as the jobs report would lead media on a more frequent basis, if not for the self-inflicted wounds the administration consistently makes. Their blunders dampen the positive news they create resulting in them communicating a false narrative that “everybody is out to get them.’
The effects of the Government shutdown
The January report is positive news. However, in a more thorough analysis you will see the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.0 percent. Again, that is not alarming as it merely is a data point. It must also be noted the number of unemployed persons rose to 6.5 million. Among those, 175,000 are in the “temporary layout” category.
Despite the shutdown, the January report is good news and some political leaders can’t fathom why Donald Trump doesn’t spend more energy on building on positive reports instead of being obsessed with watching cable television or trying to figure out ways to continue to hold the taxpayers hostage on a wall he proudly stated and his supporters echoed that “Mexico would pay for?”